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Mike Craig, a long time professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports (RAS), joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His decision to join RAS this college football season (2:39). How RAS comes up with their college football plays (5:44). His process, both objective and subjective, for betting college …
 
Chris Andrews, director of the sports book at the South Point, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The art of bookmaking (2:24). How square sports books do not practice the art of bookmaking (13:10). North Carolina State at Clemson (19:38). The difference between college football versus NFL (23:00). Michigan at Iowa …
 
Eddie Walls, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His intense process for making college football bets (8:20). The relative importance of position groups (11:47). College football resources that Eddie uses (15:55). Making adjustments on teams during …
 
Rob Pizzola, pro NFL bettor and founder The Hammer, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Mount Rushmore of bad NFL coaching by Denver's Nathaniel Hackett (2:39). Why he started the new sports betting content company The Hammer (12:00). Rob's process for betting the NFL in 2022 (23:45). A week 2 NFL bet (30:47). Ci…
 
Dr. Eric Eager, the head of Research and Development at PFF, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Is there a demand for smart sports betting content? (4:50). Uniqueness of scheme, principle component analysis and finding value in the markets (12:39). Two week 1 NFL bets (22:50). Los Angeles Chargers (26:33). Pittsb…
 
Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow struggled with sacks last season, including a nine sack game against Tennessee. But is his pocket presence that bad? If it is, does this mean he will fumble more? In this fifth and final episode of the 2022 Preview Series, Ed Feng sheds light on these questions through data. To check out the full list of NFL QB pressure rat…
 
How do you find value betting on the Heisman? Edward Egros explains his top tips before identifying a number of dark horse candidates. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here: https://thepowerrank.com/ Support the p…
 
It seems like Georgia rode an elite defense to a 2021 national championship over Alabama. However, QB Stetson Bennett IV was phenomenal, as Edward Egros discusses in this third episode of the 2022 Preview Series. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get a sample …
 
It might seem crazy to use preseason results to predict the NFL regular season. However, studies have shown that the NBA preseason is predictive of the games that matter. In this second episode of the 2022 Preview Series, Edward Egros asks whether the NFL preseason is predictive and what other insights we can get from these games. The Football Anal…
 
Since 2015, Ed Feng has gone 12 of 18 in picking overrated college football teams in the preseason AP poll. This episode reveals his three overrated teams for 2022 and his process behind the selections. The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports bet…
 
Fabian Sommer, a well respect NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why he only bets the NFL and the benefits of this focus (2:21). Moving from picks to only betting (8:56). His quantitative and qualitative preparation for the 2022 season (13:45). Kansas City and their 2021 adjustments (21:32). Las Vegas an…
 
Captain Jack Andrews, professional sports bettor and founder of Unabated, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversion. Highlights include: An early example of a sports betting edge (5:15). The difficulty in finding a good book maker (8:13). Analytics and book making (14:19). Educating sports bettors (23:09). Betting NFL football (33:37). Top do…
 
Bill Connelly, writer for ESPN and college football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Conference realignment and the future of college football (4:20). Ohio State and the defense (14:34). Alabama and the transfer portal (24:26). Georgia and replacing 5 first round NFL draft picks on defense (31:55).…
 
JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy Football joins the show to discuss predictive player analytics. JJ is the leading expert at season long NFL player projections. Highlights include: The importance of supply and demand in your fantasy football draft (6:26). The supply of wide receivers (14:30). Value and why fantasy football drafts are like betti…
 
Dr. Nick Wan, the Director of Analytics for the Cincinnati Reds, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Nick got into baseball after earning his Ph.D. in neuroscience from Utah State. Highlights include: How an early sports analytics project made the front page of the New York Times (4:52). His tasks as Director of Analytics for a MLB team (…
 
Pass rushers get paid to sack the quarterback. However, sack rate is not the best metric to evaluate pass rushers. In 2021, Von Miller, Robert Quinn and T.J. Watt showed the utility of pressure rate in evaluating edge rushers. For pass blockers, pressure rate allowed is not as good a metric. This episode describes a better way to evaluate offensive…
 
Doug Kezirian, ESPN sports betting analyst and host of Daily Wager, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How a Los Angeles guys arrived at ESPN in Las Vegas through Missouri and Iowa (2:45). Live basketball betting (15:26). NFL betting (31:30). Saints, Packers, Chiefs (38:21). Sports books and limiting sharps (46:43).…
 
To gauge NFL off season moves, let's look at the most important metrics for receivers and coverage players. This episode makes the case for yards per route run on offense, and suggests the symmetric quantity for coverage players. The predictability of these metrics and players like Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Casey Hayward Jr. are also discussed…
 
Mark Scalley and Mike Craig, two professional sports betting partners, join the show to talk about getting accounts. Highlights include: Starting a partnership in 2009 (4:20). Getting accounts in 2009 (9:00). Getting accounts in 2022 (16:50, 44:44). The key to sports betting relationships (26:07). Is Twitter a good thing for sports betting? (36:00)…
 
Matt Courchene, the co-creator of Data Golf with his brother Will, joins the show to talk about predictive golf analytics. Matt describes how his tournament predictions work. This includes player ratings based on strokes gained as well as a more granular approach that separates a golfer's skill into off the tee, putting, etc. Matt describes his res…
 
Kostya Medvedovsky joins the show to discuss DARKO, a well respected NBA player projection system. He begins with how a lawyer developed the data and math skills to develop DARKO. Then Kostya describes the two predictive systems that form the basis of DARKO, one of which was initially used in rocket science. Then he talks about how machine learning…
 
Matt Metcalf, the sports book director at Circa sports, describes his journey from sports book to professional bettor to the sports book at Circa. Matt takes us inside his head as he adjusts his college football ratings based on game results. This is the work that allows Circa to open the first college football spreads and totals on Sunday. He cont…
 
Matt Waldman, creator of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio (RSP), joins the show to talk about the 2022 NFL draft. He describes his year long process for watching film and evaluating hundreds of college players in creating the RSP. Matt talks about how Dak Prescott and others have helped him improve his process. While others talk about the intangibles …
 
Drew Dinsick, a sports bettor and co-host of NBC's Bet the Edge podcast, joins the show to talk about professional football and basketball. He describes how the NFL draft market has changed this year and a few bets that he likes. Drew talks about the top players at edge rusher and quarterback. Then Drew gets into his process for betting the NBA, wh…
 
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