The 18.6 Year Real Estate Cycle and Where We Stand with Chris Larsen

Passive Wealth Strategy Show - Real Estate for Busy Pros

Could understanding the mysterious 18.6-year real estate cycle be the key to unlocking unparalleled investment opportunities?

In this enlightening episode of the Passive Wealth Strategy Show, host Taylor Loht welcomes Chris Larson, a real estate investment guru with over two decades of experience. Chris delves into the intriguing concept of the 18.6-year real estate cycle, a pattern that has seemingly dictated the ebb and flow of property values throughout history. With a mix of personal anecdotes, historical analysis, and expert insights, Chris and Taylor explore how this cycle can impact investment strategies, the role of human psychology in market dynamics, and practical tips for navigating the inevitable ups and downs of the real estate market. Whether you're a seasoned investor or new to the game, this episode offers valuable perspectives on making informed decisions in an unpredictable landscape.

Christopher Larsen is the founder and Principal of Next-Level Income. After 18 years in the medical device industry he dedicates his time to helping others become financially independent through education and investment opportunities. Chris has been investing in and managing real estate for over 20 years. He has experience in development, private-lending, distressed debt as well as commercial office, and syndications including assets across: multifamily, self-storage, hotels, mobile home parks, car washes and senior housing. Since 2016 he has been actively involved in over $1.5B of real estate acquisitions.

[00:00:00 - 00:05:00] The Lure of Real Estate: Introduction to Chris Larson and the foundational concepts of real estate investment.

• Chris Larson's background and approach to real estate investment.
• The allure of high-margin properties and diversified investment strategies.
• Preparing for market fluctuations by accumulating cash.

[00:05:00 - 00:10:00] Unraveling the 18.6-Year Cycle: Deep dive into the concept of the 18.6-year real estate cycle and its historical significance.

• Historical patterns and the genesis of the 18.6-year cycle.
• The impact of demographics and deal specifics on investment decisions.
• The role of land value in real estate appreciation.

[00:10:00 - 00:15:00] Human Psychology & Market Dynamics: Exploring the influence of human nature and psychological patterns on real estate trends.

• Generational forgetting and the repetition of history in market cycles.
• The psychological underpinnings of investment decisions.
• The importance of understanding human behavior in predicting market movements.

[00:15:00 - 00:20:00] Black Swan Events & Real Estate: Discussing the impact of unforeseen global events on the real estate cycle.

• The role of black swan events in disrupting traditional market cycles.
• Potential future risks, including the U.S. debt level and currency crises.
• Strategies for mitigating risks associated with unpredictable global events.

[00:20:00 - 00:25:00] Practical Investment Strategies: Practical tips for navigating the real estate market based on the cycle's insights.

• Importance of low leverage and high-quality investments nearing cycle downturns.
• The value of maintaining cash reserves and liquidity.
• Long-term trend betting versus short-term speculation.
• Book recommendation: The Secret of Real Estate and Banking
• Who inspires Chris?: Elon Musk

Quotes:

"Understanding the 18.6-year cycle gives us a lens through which to view potential investment opportunities and risks." - Chris Larson

"Real estate is not just about the structures we build but the land upon which they stand." - Chris Larson

Connect with Chris:

Website: https://nextlevelincome.com/

Apply to Invest with Taylor at www.investwithtaylor.com

Track your wealth for free with Personal Capital, go to www.escapingwallstreet.com